Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1.402723e-03 0.001567 0.001731 0.001907 0.002090 0.002274 0.002473
2025-09-21 1.191784e-03 0.001433 0.001681 0.001953 0.002242 0.002537 0.002862
2025-09-28 1.053359e-03 0.001357 0.001677 0.002035 0.002421 0.002821 0.003265
2025-10-05 8.876099e-04 0.001236 0.001613 0.002043 0.002513 0.003007 0.003560
2025-10-12 7.638530e-04 0.001150 0.001578 0.002074 0.002625 0.003209 0.003869
2025-10-19 6.276972e-04 0.001037 0.001503 0.002056 0.002676 0.003341 0.004098
2025-10-26 5.212130e-04 0.000949 0.001451 0.002055 0.002742 0.003485 0.004336
2025-11-02 4.170788e-04 0.000853 0.001382 0.002031 0.002778 0.003592 0.004530
2025-11-09 3.445514e-04 0.000790 0.001347 0.002042 0.002850 0.003736 0.004763
2025-11-16 2.761255e-04 0.000725 0.001305 0.002040 0.002904 0.003858 0.004969
2025-11-23 2.156404e-04 0.000662 0.001262 0.002035 0.002952 0.003971 0.005162
2025-11-30 1.807098e-04 0.000634 0.001260 0.002076 0.003052 0.004140 0.005416
2025-12-07 1.057140e-04 0.000539 0.001182 0.002044 0.003089 0.004266 0.005654
2025-12-14 6.347109e-05 0.000487 0.001159 0.002080 0.003208 0.004487 0.006002
2025-12-21 3.861877e-05 0.000460 0.001169 0.002156 0.003376 0.004765 0.006416
2025-12-28 1.016029e-05 0.000398 0.001123 0.002159 0.003455 0.004940 0.006714
2026-01-04 3.884744e-09 0.000354 0.001099 0.002188 0.003563 0.005149 0.007049
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000291 0.001040 0.002167 0.003609 0.005283 0.007298
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000244 0.000997 0.002165 0.003676 0.005440 0.007571
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000192 0.000940 0.002140 0.003712 0.005559 0.007799
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000159 0.000910 0.002151 0.003791 0.005727 0.008082
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000125 0.000874 0.002149 0.003852 0.005873 0.008338
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000095 0.000837 0.002143 0.003907 0.006010 0.008583